PSI - Issue 84
Martina Caruso et al. / Procedia Structural Integrity 84 (2026) 143–150
150
4. Conclusions This paper describes the development of the PAPERS platform, providing a comprehensive framework for the exploration and analysis of earthquake scenarios in Italy. The platform combines building and infrastructure exposure models, and state-of-the-art fragility and consequence models for relevant components. It includes a catalogue of historical and hypothetical scenarios and a dedicated national site model. The platform supports both national-scale and building-by-building analyses, and allows users to visualise results interactively through maps, statistics, and charts. The incorporation of the OQ Calculators ensures consistent computation of ground motion fields, damage and losses across all assets, providing aggregated outputs by asset, building type, and region. Acknowledgements This work was supported by National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR) funding. The authors gratefully acknowledge Maria Rosaria Gallipoli, Giacomo Buffarini, Alessandro Giocoli, Stefano Pampanin, Livio Pedone, and Michele Matteoni for providing exposure and fragility data used in local assessments. The continuous feedback of the group ‘Earthquakes’ of the Spoke 5 throughout the project is also acknowledged. References Allstadt, K.E., Thompson, E.M., Jibson, R.W., Wald, D.J., Hearne, M., Hunter, E.J., Fee, J., Schovanec, H., Slosky, D., Haynie, K.L., 2022. The US Geological Survey ground failure product: Near-real-time estimates of earthquake-triggered landslides and liquefaction. Earthquake Spectra 38(1), 5–36. https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930211032685. Brooks, C., Pagani, M., Villani, M., Johnson, K., Styron, R., Bayliss, K., 2025. Global EarthquakE ScEnarios (GEESE): An OpenQuake engine based rupture matching algorithm and scenarios database for seismic source model testing and rapid post-event response analysis. Seismica 4(2). https://doi.org/10.26443/seismica.v4i2.1654. Crowley, H., et al., 2020. Exposure model for European seismic risk assessment. Earthquake Spectra 36, 252–273. https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293020919429. Danciu, L., Weatherill, G., Rovida, A., et al., 2022. The 2020 European seismic hazard model: Milestones and lessons learned. In: Vacareanu, R., Ionescu, C. (Eds.), Progresses in European Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. Springer Proceedings in Earth and Environmental Sciences. Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-15104-0_1. Geofabrik, 2018. Geofabrik Download Server. OpenStreetMap Data Extracts. Available as open data at: download.geofabrik.de/index.html. Karimzadeh, Z., Silva, V., Yepes-Estrada, C., Caruso, M., So, E., Wald, D., Jaiswal, K., Marano, K., 2025. Development of a global earthquake impact database (GEID) for the verification and calibration of loss models. Earthquake Spectra, in press. Mori, F., Mendicelli, A., Moscatelli, M., Romagnoli, G., Peronace, E., Naso, G., 2020. A new Vs30 map for Italy based on the seismic microzonation dataset. Engineering Geology. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2020.105745. OpenStreetMap contributors, 2025. Road Network Dataset. Available as open data under the Open Data Commons Open Database License (ODbL) at: openstreetmap.org. Pagani, M., Monelli, D., Weatherill, G., Danciu, L., Crowley, H., Silva, V., Henshaw, P., Butler, L., Nastasi, M., Panzeri, L., Simionato, M., Vigano, D., 2014. OpenQuake engine: An open hazard (and risk) software for the global earthquake model. Seismological Research Letters 85(3), 692– 702. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220130087. Rao, A., Yepes- Estrada, C., Johnson, K., Todorović, L., Pagani, M., Simionato, M., Styron, R., Silva, V., Crowley, H., 2025. Evolution of th e OpenQuake engine: Enhanced capabilities, collaborative development, and global adoption. Earthquake Spectra 41(5), 3299–3336. https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930251378157. Rathje, E.M., Saygili, G., 2009. Probabilistic assessment of earthquake-induced sliding displacements of natural slopes. Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering 42(1), 18–27. https://doi.org/10.5459/bnzsee.42.1.18-27. Silva, V., Brzev, S., Scawthorn, C., Yepes, C., Dabbeek, J., Crowley, H., 2022. A building classification system for multi-hazard risk assessment. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 13, 161–177. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-022-00400-x. Silva, V., Crowley, H., Pagani, M., Monelli, D., Pinho, R., 2014. Development of the OpenQuake engine, the Global Earthquake Model’s open source software for seismic risk assessment. Natural Hazards 72(3), 1409–1427. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1338-4. Yepes- Estrada, C., Karimzadeh, Z., Rao, A., Caruso, M., Calderon, A., Silva, V., Paul, N., Todorović, L., de la Fuente, S., 2025. Global Earthquake Impact Database (v2025.0.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15928655.
Made with FlippingBook flipbook maker