PSI - Issue 20

Available online at www.sciencedirect.com Available online at www.sciencedirect.com ScienceDirect Structural Integrity Procedia 00 (2018) 000–000 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com ScienceDirect Structural Integrity Procedia 00 (2018) 000–000

www.elsevier.com/locate/procedia www.elsevier.com/locate/procedia

ScienceDirect

Procedia Structural Integrity 20 (2019) 248–253

1st International Conference on Integrity and Lifetime in Extreme Environment (ILEE-2019) Emergencies situational modeling technology for territorial management support 1st International Conference on Integrity and Lifetime in Extreme Environment (ILEE-2019) Emergencies situational modeling technology for territorial management support

V.V. Nicheporchuk*, A.I. Nozhenkov 50-44 Akademgorodok, ICM SB RAS, 660036, Krasnoyarsk, Russia V.V. Nicheporchuk*, A.I. Nozhenkov 50-44 Akademgorodok, ICM SB RAS, 660036, Krasnoyarsk, Russia

Abstract A situational modeling technology of natural and technogenic emergencies is offered. This technology integrates the calculation methods of emergency assessment, methods of analytical processing and dynamic mapping controlled by the expert system. We developed the system model of information-analytical systems of management support of natural and technogenic safety describing informational resources structure, system functioning at the solution of various modeling problems. For the first time, a generic algorithm for assessing the consequences of dangerous situations is implemented. The features of different calculation methods use for assessing the consequences and dynamics of dangerous situations are shown. The spatial analysis is used for scales assessment, the forecast of event's dynamics and formation of the available emergency forces. We use the knowledge base to form the list and priority of accident elimination tasks, protection actions and the resources requirement. The offered technology implements a comprehensive support security control of the territories. As the experience of situational modeling systems operation in the Krasnoyarsk region has shown, to improve the management of emergency response processes, it's necessary to solve the problems of maintaining up-to-date operational monitoring data, characteristics of territories, facilities, infrastructure, as well as registers of rescue units, equipment and resources. We justified the need of iterative knowledge bases update of scenarios actions in dangerous situations by analysis of already occurred events. Abstract A situational od ling technology of natural and technogenic mer e cies is offered. This techn ogy integrates the calculation meth ds of emergency assessment, methods of a al tical processing and dyna ic mapping c ntrolled by the xpert system. We veloped the sys em model of information-analytical systems of management support of natural and technog nic safety describing informational resources structure, syst m functioning at he s lut on of various mod ling p oblems. For the first time, a generic algorithm for assessing th conseque ces of dangerous situations is implemented. The features of different calculati n method u e for assessing the cons quences and dy amics of dangerous situations a e shown. The spatial analysis is us d for scales assessment, the forecast event's dyna ics and formation of the av ilable emergency f rces. W use the knowl dge base o form the list and priority of accident elimination asks, protection actions and the resourc s r quirement. The ffered technology implements a comprehensiv support security c ntrol f the territories. As the xperi e of situational modeling syst ms operation in the Krasnoyarsk region has sh wn, t impr ve the management of emergency response processes, it's nece sary to solve the problems of maintaini g up-to-dat operational monitoring data, c aracteristics of territories, facilities, infr structur , s well as registers of rescue units, equipment and r sources. W justified the need of iterative knowledge bases update of scenarios actions in dangerous situations by analysis of already occurred events.

© 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. Peer-review under responsibility of the ILEE-2019 organizers © 2019 V.V. Nicheporchuk, A.I. Nozhenkov. Published by Elsevier B.V. Peer-review under responsibility of the ILEE-2019 organizers © 2019 V.V. Nicheporchuk, A.I. Nozhenkov. Published by Elsevier B.V. Peer-review under responsibility of the ILEE-2019 organizers Keywords: modeling technology, analytical processing, dynamic mapping, expert system Keywords: modeling technology, analytical processing, dynamic mapping, expert system

As a result of the "micro-modular" approach implementation to situational modeling, many highly specialized software systems have been created that calculate the consequences of single situation type, for example, radiation, chemical accidents, natural fires, etc. Such systems use calculation methods of different accuracy, have different As a result of the "micro-modular" approach implementation to situational modeling, many highly specialized software systems have been created that calculate the consequences of single situation type, for example, radiation, chemical accidents, natural fires, etc. Such systems use calculation methods of different accuracy, have different

2452-3216 © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. Peer-review under responsibility of the ILEE-2019 organizers 2452 3216 © 2019 Th Author(s). Publis d by lsevier B.V. Peer-review under responsibility of the ILEE-2019 organizers * Correspon ing autho . Tel.: +7-913-830-5949 ; fax: +7-319-249-4874 . E-mail address: valera@icm.krasn.ru * Corresponding author. Tel.: +7-913-830-5949 ; fax: +7-319-249-4874 . E-mail address: valera@icm.krasn.ru

2452-3216 © 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. Peer-review under responsibility of the ILEE-2019 organizers 10.1016/j.prostr.2019.12.147