PSI - Issue 78

Atilla Ansal et al. / Procedia Structural Integrity 78 (2026) 2133–2140

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5. Conclusions An attempt was made to develop and improve the probabilistic approach for site response analyses and microzonation to obtain a more reliable approach for predetermined level of exceedance. In the case of site response, the number of input motions, and the number of soil profiles are increased using Monte Carlo simulation technique. The 1Dsite response analysis used was modified accounting stress and frequency dependence of the modulus degradation and damping ratio to have better modeling capabilities. Even though preliminary findings indicate that 2D and 3D site response analyses would yield more accurate site response results, it is still ongoing research to understand their effects on microzonation results. References Alvarez, L., García, J., Vaccari, F., Panza, G. F., González, B., Reyes, C., Fernández, B., Pico, R., Zapata, J. A., Arango, E. (2004). Ground motion zoning of Santiago de Cuba: an approach by SH waves modelling. In G. F. Panza, I. Paskaleva, & C. Nunziata (Eds.), Seismic Ground Motion in Large Urban Areas (pp. 1041-1059): Birkhäuser Basel. Ansal, A (2025) Seismic Microzonation; Past, Present and Future, Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, v23, n9, pp.3483 - 3506 Ansal, A., Tönük, G., Sadegzadeh, S. (2024) Site response analysis in performance based approach, Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Eng. Vol.30 Issue 11, pp1319-1328 Ansal, A., Tönük, G., & Kurtuluş, A. (2019). Microzonation with respect to ground shaking intensity. In Earthquake Geotechnic al Engineering for Protection and Development of Environment and Constructions (pp. 410-425). London: CRC Press. Ansal, A., G. Tönük, A. Kurtuluş, B. Çetiner (2012). Effect of Spectra Scaling on Site Specific Design Earthquake Characteris tics Based on 1D Site Response Analysis, Proc. of 15WCEE, Lisbon, Portugal Ansal, A., Akinci, A., Cultrera, G., Erdik, M., Pessina, V., Tönük, G., Ameri, G. (2009). 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The seismic microzonation of the city of Catania (Italy) for the maximum expected scenario earthquake of January 11, 1693. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 29(6), 953-962. Idriss, I. M., & Sun, J. I. (1992). Modification to SHAKE program published in Dec. 1972 by Schnabel, Lysmer and Seed, user’s manual for SHAKE91 (with accompanying program). Kottke, A.R., and E.M. Rathje (2011). A semi-automated procedure for selecting and scaling recorded earthquake motions for dynamic analysis, Earthquake Spectra 24 911-32.

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